If you have followed us you were primarily in cash and may have shorted some stocks already or have gone into a few bearish ETFs. We do not make specific recommendations.
July 23, 2015 The world governments are in reflation mode, but it is obvious from the decline in commodity prices that reflation is failing and every major world economy is headed for depression mode instead on the horizon. Reflation plus depression was the Weimar Republic’s and the Zimbabwe’s recipes for hyperinflation. But that kind of disaster would require someone like a Hilary Clinton to accomplish. Trump is the only one who apparently can cut through all the Clinton-Obama political bullshit. But it will unfortunately take a crashing stock market before the majority listens to him.
Hilary
Clinton is now off defending Planned Parenthood’s policy of selling aborted baby
body parts to criminal doctors. One Planned
Parenthood doctor said on camera that there is a high demand for baby livers as
she crunched on a salad and discussed her work experience “crunching” living fetuses. Are the leaders of Planned Parenthood and
their political supporters sick or what?
Hilary supports throwing away tax money on sick Planned Parenthood doctors
even though Obama’s new law already pays for abortions. So far Hilary still makes no sense at all but
Bernie Sanders has come to her party’s rescue to set her straight. So far, everyone who has attacked Donald
Trump has done far greater damage to their own credibility than to his. He started with nothing and has legally
amassed one of the greatest individual world fortunes ever in spite of every
political effort stop him all along the way.
His only failure has been his inability to teach others how to
accomplish what he has done. That is
because other people give up too easily and Donald Trump does not. Trump is not 99% bullshit like the current
administration.
July 22, 2015 We
warned months ago that the run up in stock prices in China were manipulated by the
Communist government. They gave up
reporting accurate volume as well to make it more difficult to detect their fabricated
stock values so that you could not tell that the price increase was not due to
buying pressure. Volume is essential to
investing because if the price jumps 10% on a few communist government shares
exchanged it is obvious the market is fixed.
In addition china’s ETF’s in the US began using fake volumes for the
bull and bear ETF’s. They went to a
phony fixed ratio of volumes for YINN and Yang traded on May1, 2015 right after the
Communists began their hyper-ridiculous-manipulation. The manipulation is now so great it makes the
Communist Party look ridiculous. Buy
communist party manipulated stocks at your own risk. Russia
is no better than China.
Giant
investment hedge fund Bridgewater Associates LP, has declared that China
is no longer a safe place to invest.
The socialist
Japanese Toshiba Corp. accounting scandal is about padding pretax profit by at
least $1.2 billion over six years. All
the top executives at the Japanese industrial conglomerate, which makes
everything from faulty refrigerators to faulty nuclear reactors, apparently are
in on it. Padding the books is how most socialist run companies get their stock
prices to the current market bubble level but it is usually done legally making
stupid but legal assumptions. When the
stock market collapses suddenly the executives get smart, sell their holdings
and take the corporate losses to create at new bottom price so that they can buy
back in low and restart padding of corporate income during the next bull
market. The socialists’ governments are
so dumb the crooks go to the bank and never go to jail.
Surprise-surprise! Prices of homes are now higher than at any
other time, including at the peak of the 2007 bubble just before the housing
and stock market collapses.
Beware again;
the first downward leg of the new recession market could be very soon. Early July is when much of the world goes on
vacation and is oblivious to the news.
Declines in that period can be very steep and can be a buying
opportunity if one gets out before the next decline.
July 22,
2015 The Wall Street Journal today reported: the
Chinese say that on July 7 they were only controlling only 96.8% (100-3.2%
uncontrolled) of their stock prices in their market. Otherwise it was a free market. American housing is now being destabilized as
it was in 2007 with low payment mortgages that kick in later. Hackers have now demonstrated they can take
control of self guided motor vehicles. Hedge
funds have introduced new ways to bet against markets when the stock market
collapses that make more money than just directly shorting stocks. These are all news today.
Until now, when
markets collapsed the US Treasury and FED never broke the buck as more
socialist countries have at times. But
that can now happen if a major brokerage or other non-bank firms go bankrupt
since they have limited insurance.
We are
approaching the most risky two weeks of the summer when major declines have occurred. These declines happened twice during the
Obama administration but are small compared to the next Obama economic decline
we anticipate later this year. We are
now seeing corporations biting the bullet and honestly reporting recent sales/earnings
declines instead of cooking their books and that is an indication that the
stock market balance sheet bath is just beginning. All the DOW indicators (stocks, rails,
utilities) are in decline and only the fringe unproven/untested concept technology
stocks have pushed higher. That is the
end game pattern for a bull market. The
FED is now actively trying to skinny down overextended banks.
July 21,
2015 Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen said that
the new stress test goal is to force banks either to shrink or to hold
substantially more capital to reduce risk of a meltdown. The FED has assigned a higher capital holding
requirement for larger banks. It is
evident the FED sees the imminent risk of a financial meltdown and depression not
inflation.
The new deal
Obama gave Iran
will Iranian their oil output this year increasing the pressure on the oil
cartel to further lower prices.
Commodities are most vulnerable as currencies become
volatile and recession and deflation hits the BRICS.
The DJI and DJR have joined the broadest NYSE market in
beginning to roll over and decline. Only
the NASDAC, the most volatile index has hit new highs in recent months and it
has the most hyped and manipulated earnings statement companies of all.
IBM, the world's largest technology services company
continued to see revenues fall for the 13th consecutive quarter.
July 20,
2015 Just five days ago we warned that
gold was still historically high in its multi decade cycle. It peaked with both stupid party presidents
Jimmy Carter and Hussein Obama. Gold
bugs know that political dunces throw hard earned money at everything and don’t
understand how anyone makes an honest living.
Gold prices just plunged 4 percent to $1,088.05 an ounce their lowest in
more than five years today as sellers in China dumped some of the
metal. India will soon start doing the
same. Gold could drop about 30% before
it bottoms. The Shanghai Gold Exchange
volumes soared to a record. It broke its
support levels so there is more to follow.
Gold rises during inflation and
plunges during recessions and the looming depression. FDR blamed Herbert Hover for his Great
Depression and Obama is still blaming Bush for Obama’s evolving Great
Depression. The sale of gold is a precursor
to anticipated deflation or depression.
Donald Trump is under attack from the
establishment. Senator McCain referred
to Trumps 15000 person speech (to what included thousands of veterans in
McCain’s home state) as a turnout of a bunch of "crazies." Yes,
McCain called veterans who voted for Senator McCain "crazies." Trump
responded that McCain may be a war hero but Trump prefers the “heroic heroes”
because all combat veterans are probably as heroic as Senator John McCain. Both politicians McCain and John Kerry were
great heroes according to themselves but McCain had no witnesses. John
Kerry’s boasting of heroism was refuted in a book written by all the men who witnessed
and served with him. If every American
would read John Kerry’s book about Vietnam they would throw this
entire administration out. Read what
Kerry wrote that his co-soldiers did to Viet Cong nurses with dynamite
sticks. Then you will ask how could a person like
Kerry be allowed to negotiate with enemies sworn to kill Americans? So far the stupid party media has been doing
its best to slander Donald Trump but it has helped Trump’s ratings soar.