October
1 The Wall Street Journal reported that
job layoffs surged 44% last month to levels not seen since the month the stock
market began to collapse in the Fall of 2008.
New hiring also fell to 200k when 300k is what is needed to maintain
full employment just in normal times. Also
record numbers of corporations are announcing layoffs. The WSJ already had its own layoffs. During the past month surprise layoffs have
been happening even at public and private institutions like science centers as
states and municipalities are cutting back and corporations hunker down. Approximately one in three Americans now
personally knows someone who has been recently laid off or fired. Walmart stores and Nike shoes make the news often
now due to their poor quality. Nike
shoes have been falling apart at track meets since at least 2011. And still their incompetent management has
been more focused more on NAMBLA and on changing the American Constitution’s
Bill of Rights than they are on their businesses. So far Nike has not been investigated in the
soccer bribery scandal. Yet soccer athletes
and officials use their shoes almost exclusively although they are known to
have serious problems.
Challenger Job Cuts Sep 93.2% up from 2.9%
September
30 While it is still possible that
the stock market could set a temporary bottom here and bounce, the broadest
NYSE market average and the highly sensitive Russell average have already set
lower lows both in price and cash flow. It seems investors are waiting for a stronger
reaction to be certain the extremely loose credit bull market is over. The market could bounce slightly and cause a
temporary mad rush into stocks. But we
estimate that the market will be 10% to 70% lower in January depending on the
world economic news which continues to deteriorate. The uncertainty is caused by the huge amount
of Quantitative Easing that hasn’t even begun to be unwound.
The danger
of economic and psychologically crippling terrorism in the USA has
increased several folds under Obama and is much worse now than just before the
9-11 attacks. When Americans go to the
ISIS region for other than American government business they should first have
their Visas voided and then be given 30 days to appeal in person in a USA courtroom
before their citizenship is suspended.
Once their citizenship is suspended they should have to apply through a
foreign USA embassy for a temporary visa to return to US authorities to face
charges of unauthorized activities to either clear themselves or face a
possible prison term or expulsion from the USA.
Under Obama more than 240 Americans have joined the ISIS
organization of homicidal terrorist maniacs.
September
29 The resistance level of the last
major bottom was broken yesterday for three of the five stock market cash flow indices
we follow. Yesterday Carl Icahn warned,
“History is doomed to repeat itself here.” “I’ve been around a long time. I’ve
seen it before, ‘69 ‘74, ‘79. I can tell you ... ’87, 2000 wasn’t pretty, and I
think a time is coming that might make some of those times look pretty good.”
Icahn, who just
endorsed Donald Trump’s presidential bid, also commented on the socialist crony
capitalist situation in the U.S. “I love this country, but I sure as hell
don’t love a lot of the politicians in it or the CEOs.” Trump may be “brash,” but he’s willing to say
what he believes and he’s willing to say, ‘Hey, this is complete bullshit.’”
September
28 A forward-looking gauge of U.S. home sales lost 1.4% in August—further
evidence that the US
economy has peaked for this dismal Obama economy with its grossly inflated
money supply and record bubble stock market. Any time now we can expect a test of the
recent stock market lows.
Shell has
given up on arctic oil drilling finding little oil or gas. It was a false start after the bluster and
competitive threats from Russia ’s
hapless arctic drilling. But it turned out
to be a complete waste of Shell’s time. Russia likes to
control everything and always spreads itself too thin. Russia is slowly becoming a
radioactive waste dump as its nuclear arsenal disintegrates with age and
becomes a national health threat. It
was Ronald Regan who called them the Evil Empire after Russia shot down a fully loaded Japanese
passenger plane similar to the way they shot down the Malaysian airplane that
flew over the part of the Ukraine
that Russia
recently invaded. Russia has not
had a successful atomic detonation test since their Empire of Evil
imploded. Putin seems to becoming more
reasonable as the third world economies slip into deeper recession and Russia arsenal
turns into a heap of radioactive scrap.