Monday, August 18, 2014

Aug 21 Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu must have read what we said yesterday and today he said Israeli forces will keep hunting down leaders of Hamas in the Gaza Strip after killing the wife and child of the group’s militia chief in an air raid. “The commanders of terror organizations are a legitimate target,” Netanyahu said last night at a Tel Aviv news conference. “No one is immune.”

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-08-20/netanyahu-vows-to-kill-hamas-leaders-as-rockets-fall.html
 
Aug 20   A female Fox newscaster on the 12 o’clock news said today that Moslems have been known to behead Americans since the time of Thomas Jefferson and the only way to stop that is with a bullet to every Moslem’s head.   That suggestion may be misinterpreted and not go down well but intolerant people are beginning to see terrorism now as a necessary and legitimate strategy.  Some anti-terrorist people think preemptive nuking of all the countries that behead good people and violate the bodies of innocent women and pre-pubic children would be better than waiting for the Jihadists to begin a worldwide nuclear war.  The Israelis are now getting the sympathy of the West because ISIS and Hamas are so incredibly horrible.  Israel could now go into Gaza and execute every evil Hamas leader and the people of Gaza would be so grateful to live and let live in freedom once again.  Freedom and peace is so much better than religious intolerance and oppression especial their evil oppression that was born of the Dark Ages.  
It is a very frightening world we live in now and it seems even Putin now sees the possible horrible consequences if someone like him does something that triggers WWIII.  WWI was started unbelievably by a single terrorist who killed the heir apparent of a little poor European country.  How much easier would the next world war start with the beheading of a prominent free world leader or the invasion of free Ukraine?  And with no leadership being shown in the “sane” part of the world it could be tempting for the insane part of the world to go one step over the edge of no return.   The NAZI religion of National Socialism was eradicated after WWII and all the people living under it thanked the Free World for hanging every single on of its leaders.
 
Aug 19   Bloomberg reported that a Texas office of a drunken political sycophant has been defunded.   Republican Texas Governor Perry took the action against a drunken prosecutor after the prosecutor’s arrest for drunken driving and her obnoxious behavior on jail-house camera.  The governor is now accused by democrats of abusing his authority by trying to force out the drunkard prosecutor who refused to step down voluntarily because Perry is a Republican the drunk was a Democrat… and lets not forget that Perry could run for president.  Texas Governor Perry vetoed the defunding for the drunkard’s entire office of political sycophants.  So a Banana Republic Democrat orchestrated indictment was issued charging Governor Perry, a potential Republican presidential candidate, for ridding Texas of one of their drunken state office sycophants who refused to leave quietly.   This can only help Governor Perry because it will offset his poor debate performance in 2011 and now makes him a viable candidate again!
 
The tech-heavy NASDAQ logged its highest closing level in more than 14 years. As long as the brainless computers keep automatically bidding prices upward, nothing seems to be able to stop the rise in prices until people realize the prices being paid are absolutely ridiculous.  The WSJ and Squawk Box are saying that the little retail investors are now out of the market and all the money is invested by the high paid money managers of the funds using high speed computers to trade.  Most of the exchanges don’t even publish their volume because most trading is very high speed and done with computers that are continuously buying and selling to maintain a market. 
 
The 60 Minutes CBS program on Sunday showed again how the high speed computers are so clever that they break your trade up into smaller trades that cost you more in commissions.  That is why small investors use AON (all or none) because Fidelity does the same to fleece people who don’t know better.  Why should any small trader ever have to say AON when supercomputers can handle any small order without blinking?
 
Banks are getting clever at cheating their fiduciary clients too.  They charge $20 or more for every chick overdraft.  So to maximize their cheating they collect all the checks after you go to sleep and process them in order of the highest checks first.  In that manner once a big check triggers your overdraft each of the many smaller checks triggers an additional $20 penalty.
                                             The Buffet Rule, pass it along…
We must support this...pass it on and let’s see if these idiots understand what people pressure is all about.
Salary of retired US Presidents . . . . . . . . . . $180,000 FOR LIFE
Salary of House/Senate members . . . . . . . . $174,000 FOR LIFE This is stupid
Salary of Speaker of the House . . . . . . . . . . $223,500 FOR LIFE This is really stupid
Salary of Majority/Minority Leaders . . . . .  $193,400 FOR LIFE Ditto last line
Average Salary of a teacher . . . . . . .. . . . ... $40,065
Average Salary of a deployed Soldier . . . .. $38,000
I think he found where the cuts should be made! If you agree pass it on, I just did.
Warren Buffet, in a recent interview with CNBC, offers one of the best quotes about the debt ceiling:
"I could end the deficit in 5 minutes," he told CNBC. "You just pass a law that says that anytime there is a deficit of more than 3% of GDP, all sitting members of Congress are ineligible for re-election.
Warren Buffet is asking everyone to forward this email to a minimum of twenty people on their address list; in turn ask each of those to do likewise.
In a week, most people in The United States of America will have the message. This is one idea that really should be passed around.
Congressional Reform Act of 2015
1. No Tenure / No Pension.
A Congressman/woman collects a salary while in office and receives no pay when they're out of office.
2. Congress (past, present & future) participates in Social Security.
All funds in the Congressional retirement fund move to the Social Security system immediately. All future funds flow into the Social Security system, and Congress participates with the American people. It may not be used for any other purpose.
3. Congress can purchase their own retirement plan, just as all Americans do.
4. Congress will no longer vote themselves a pay raise. Congressional pay will rise by the lower of CPI or 3%.
5. Congress loses their current health care system and participates in the same health care system as the American people.
6. Congress must equally abide by all laws they impose on the American people.
7. All contracts with past and present Congressmen/women are void effective 12/1/14. The American people did not make this contract with Congressmen/women.
Congress made all these contracts for themselves. Serving in Congress is an honor, not a career. The Founding Fathers envisioned citizen legislators, so ours should serve their term(s), then go home and back to work.
If each person contacts a minimum of twenty people then it will only take three days for most people (in the U.S.) to receive the message. Don't you think it's time?
THAT IS HOW WE FIX CONGRESS!
 
World Economy
Aug 22
Peruvian President Humala’s cabinet failed to obtain a vote of confidence from its Congress for failing to revive the slowing economy.
Brazil in July created fewest jobs since 1999 as Brazil’s economy declines faster.
Aug 19
Investors that cut their gold holdings in 2012 as prices fell from highs have yet to plunge back in.   Gold production had reached a record 2,632 tons in 2012 causing the price to fall.  But it slumped by a third to 1,763 tons last year. The metal has held in a tight trading range since then according to data compiled by Bloomberg.  But gold bugs are waiting for an upside breakout as the printing presses flood the world with cash.  When interest rates rise the money will come flooding out of US low interest treasuries.  That is why the FED is afraid to stop QE economic cocaine and reverse the process that has stoned our economy.
 
The European FTSE is at the highs of 2000 and 2007 but MSNBC/PRAVDA is still saying buy and by-by.  Notice the flat top similar to yr 2000.
 
The German stock market has topped out and is close to giving a sell signal hitting the sell resistance level for the fourth time in two years.
 
Japan’s stock market appears to have topped and is periodically testing a lower resistance level. It has declined since 1990 when Japan began Quantitative Easing because their Yen is dropping faster than the dollar.  Prior to 1990 Japan was the rising star not China.
 
The French market is only about 60% of what it was fourteen years ago. At it most recent highs it is still is still down 50% from 2008 and down 60% from 2000.
 
The Swiss market still indicates stagnation since 2007. It has hit the highs of 2003 but could not make it to the highs of 2007. Obama has destroyed Swiss banking by attacking Swiss confidentiality that had protected people from the Hitlers and Stalins of the past.
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=%5ESSMI&t=my&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=
 
American Economy
Obama must have made all his advisors learn the new Common Core Mathematics.  The numbers seldom make sense and tend to make Obama stagnation look like prosperity.
 
Aug 18
NAHB Housing Market Index Aug 55 up from 53  -high data scatter
Aug 19
CPI Jul 0.1% down from 0.3% -  we need inflation not deflation of the economy
Core CPI Jul 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% -
Housing Starts Jul 1093K up from 945K.  We have underwater mortgages and don’t need more of them.
Building Permits Jul 1052K up from 963K good jobs bad because there is an over supply of homes now and a shortage of apartments.
Aug 20
MBA Mortgage Index 08/16 1.4% scatter from -2.7% -
AM Crude Inventories 08/16 -4.474M obvious administration error, BS, and scatter 1.401M -  If oil was in short supply it could not result in the lower prices.
FOMC Minutes 7/30 - - - FED still to afraid to make any change due to their inept leadership.
Aug 21
Initial Claims 08/16 298K  down slightly from 311K ++
Continuing Claims 08/09 2500K  down from  2544K +
Existing Home Sales Jul 5.15M  up from 5.04M ++
Philadelphia Fed Aug 28.0 improved from 23.9 +
Leading Indicators Jul 0.9% Common Core math was used for this BS 0.3%
 
The Markets
A few weeks ago we showed several public indicators that pointed to a downturn at about the beginning of September.  Our own market cash flow indicator is nearing a turning point signal too.  But usually there is a recovery of about half the first decline before a long term bear market decline ensues.   A very careful person could consider shorting a company that is beginning to flat line and covering it about a week after the first decline of close to 10%.  After the first sharp selloff  there will be some very good stocks that should not be down 2% much less down more than 10%.  A very careful person could consider cherry picking those strong companies that are still strong but getting out just before they recover the selloff loss.
Google has a search machine with many good options and you can save the results in an Excel spreadsheet and capture the HTML’s that let you automatically plot each case that you want to look at.
 
 Look at the volatility index and you see that the market could fall much faster. This market has little volume or volatility.  So when volume picks up past history says the market will plunge.  This is not a good moment in time for holding equities.
 
 World market updates:

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