Tuesday, October 13, 2015

October 15 The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported crude oil oversupply grew by 7.6 million barrels last week, a very bearish sign for the oil market. The latest EIA data add to recent reports from International Energy Agency and the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries that supply is still at near-record levels and that demand is showing due to the recession. Light, sweet crude for November delivery settled down to $46 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange and Brent, the global benchmark, to $48 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe. The rally last week was just another manipulation based on rumors.

MBA Mortgage Index 10/10 fell -27.6%
The Produce Price Index in Sep fell -0.5%  a growing sign of economic depression the opposite of inflation.
Retail Sales ex-auto for Sep fell -0.3% 
Empire (NY) Manufacturing Oct fell -11.4
Crude Inventories 10/10 doubled to 7.562M
Industrial production remains in the Obama slump.
The Bears have just overtaken the bulls
The NYSE MACD continues to plunge
            October 14    The energy price spike and slump manipulation has been hurting speculators who believe the market manipulators who profit buying the stocks after a slump and then predict a price recovery selling back at higher prices to their fool-followers have bought back in.   They drive up the energy stocks and then dump.  Even Wells Fargo took a hit speculating.  Energy prices will not rise significantly until this recession bottoms out next year. 
         On page A2 of the WSJ they have graphs that explain the current credit crunch.  Effective US interest rates hit -3% last year because the FED rate was close to 0% and the inflation rate went over 3%.  That was an incentive for excessive borrowing and spending and for going into enormous destabilizing US leverage and debt.   At the same time things were even worse abroad causing the US Dollar to soar 20% and hurting US exports doubly.  As interest rates approached zero the banks and the FED lost the ability to further stimulate the economy.  This is the same as the situation under FDR in 1932 when the stock market collapsed and there were runs on the banks not like when Obama was elected but because there simply was not sufficient money in circulation to meet demand.  When interest rates are negative corporations are better off putting the cash in the vault than putting it in the bank where you get back less than you put in.  When a credit economy collapses the hard currency skyrockets in purchasing power because it is very scarce.   Catch22 is the fact the FED is now being trapped because it did not raise rates earlier.
            The lowest cost “content provider” will survive.  NETFLIX stands to be wiped out within the next decade as the competition increases and the creators of content demand a fair share.
       As we predicted, Obama and his “Stupid Party” lied.  “Obama Crappycare”  will cost much more than America’s “best in the world” free enterprise health care system has.  Rates will be double shortly after the 2016 election, and doctors are now retiring in record numbers meaning there will be an army of “third world” incompetent doctors and assistants replacing Americans.   Costs will more than double for the same level of care American free enterprise has provided.  This is just another ignorant third world “Stupid Party” result similar to the third world socialism that destroyed Russia, China, and Eastern Europe.  China and Eastern Europe are making progress with free enterprise and diminishing socialism.   Obama Crappycare is almost as stupid as Hilary’s ideas of tribal parenting rather than parenting with a caring mother and father.  Fatherless families are the primary cause academic failure and poverty in America.
        During the last Clinton administration Hilary was out championing ignorant third world children’s rights over the parent’s right to protect their children.  Hilary wanted 12 year old children to have the right to disobey and leave their parents at age 12 while NAMBLA was advocating that children down to age 8 have the right to chose to be sex objects of adults as one NAMBLA founder, a notorious Boston priest, and the most backward Polynesian tribes advocate.  Moslems in the Mid East are stricter than the “stupid party” and only permit adult sex with children down to age nine.  About two decades before Hilary Clinton’s youth rights campaign, New York Governor Nelson Rockefeller’s son was eaten by the cannibal tribe he tried to study in Indonesia.  But that did not dissuade Hilary Clinton from writing her book hoping to pander to ignorant Americans and to encourage stupid people to vote for her third world ignorant “Stupid Party”.  In her book she said it took a tribe to educate a child, not the mother and father teams of civilized nations.  But NAMBLA wanted even more.  NAMBLA invented the phrase “By eight or it’s too late;” and sought a children’s legal right to have an adult sex partner by age eight when many children living in drives are first raped.  That is consistent with the “Stupid Party’s” method for reducing American crime simply by declare crimes like drug trafficking legal and letting all the social parasites and bullies out of jail early to prey on Americans again. 
          That is why many religious groups do not want to serve people like the CEO’s of Walmart and others who might one day ask Christians and Jews to serve them at one of their “NAMBLA events.”  The CEO’s of the following companies should be fired for wasting stockholder money supporting NAMBLA objectives.  The best way would be for everyone to boycott these companies not the US “religious free” communities that those company CEOs said they would boycott.  No one can force you to buy the stocks or products of the morally corrupt.  The CEO’s of Apple, Walmart, Yelp, Salesforce, Angie's List, Eli Lilly, Gap, Levi's, Twitter, Anthem, and Nike want parents and churches constitutional rights restricted when it comes to protecting their children.   They advocate the laws of the primitive tribes like “Sodom and Gomorrah” or ISIS where it was or still is legal to regularly abuse children.  The “Stupid Party” and ISIS both want to neutralize the rights of Christians and Jews.  That is why stupid people and bigots support the “Stupid Party” policies, but informed minorities, democrats, and independents are abandoning the “Stupid Party” in this next election.  Americans plan the throw the “Stupid Party” out in a landslide and investigate the wiretap surveillance and other predatory and disruptive crimes committed by the Obama IRS, and his Attorney General and administration.
            October 14  Jim Cramer officially has gone on record yesterday saying the stock market is about to experience severe pain based on his cyclic indicators.  For a year now we have predicted that by the end of October 2015 Jim Crammer would recognize the bear market had arrived.  Unfortunately it is a little too late to beat the stampede to the exit.  The last one out of the funds takes the greatest loss.  He also said what we have said for almost a year, that China’s bull market has been just another manipulation.
        Walmart, the worst performing stock in the DJI was responsible for 30% of the decline of the DJI today.  It is one of the corporations with a CEO that put NAMBLA ahead of the Constitutional right of Freedom of Religion.  The Boston priest who raped more than 50 alter boys was a founder of NAMBLA. 
            October 13  Why doesn’t Obama just resign and let Biden take over?
            Fortress Investment Group has shut down its flagship macro hedge fund a situation facing most hedge funds and only getting worse in a country where an incompetent president tells the world that the Department of Environment Protection’s goals are a more important concern than America’s National Security.  Obama now even argues that leadership on climate change is more important than leadership to combat terrorism. 
            Many funds will fold once investors are burned because most Funds can burry their losses until they are in a hopeless withdrawal situation.  Redemptions are what force funds and everyone else to recognize all the buried hidden losses.   Similarly a homeowner in a neighborhood that has seen a 25% reduction in home prices does not write down the loss until his house is sold.  And by the same token, almost all investors in funds now have unrealized losses that will not be exposed until other investors begin to take all remaining profits from previous market appreciation.  The last investors holding the bag will end up taking most of the losses as the stampede to the exit begins.
            The WSJ is beginning to warn that the feeble 6-year economic recovery could be over.  The low interest rate loans have been gobbled up by incompetent CEOs just as foolish, inexperienced and impoverished people gobbled up unaffordable houses in 2006 2007, and 2008 with the Obama-Dodd-Frank low interest 3yr mortgage loans and caused the collapse of Countrywide, Fannie and Freddie Mai and led to Obama’s recession.  Of course the incompetent Obama administration has consistently blamed that collapse of the Obama-Dodd-Frank housing bubble and leveraged banks on President George bush because Obama can never admit the truth.  Obama can be credited with creating the first American “Junk Economy.”  Why doesn’t Obama resign and let Biden take over?

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