Friday, February 17, 2012

We went from 64% down to 62% home ownership and an “Obama Reverse Racial World Depression” with the Senate Banking Commission “Liar Loan Regulations.”

Rising oil prices are stalling the American economy the Fed warns. That is due to Obama shutting down American production and refusing to allow Canadian oil to flow into America.

Wells Fargo CEO said Friday that we went from 64% of the nation owning homes quickly up to 67% home ownership giving out Freddie and Fanny “liar loans” and now it is worse at 62%. Racially oriented liar loans (and it was racial if you look at the disproportionate number of the liar loan given to one race…. i.e. “reverse discrimination” almost brought down the entire world! We went from 64% to 62% home ownership and an “Obama Reverse Racial World Depression” with the Senate Banking Commission “Liar Loan Regulations.”  Some wanted to take greater advantage of rising prices thinking they could take a low interest variable rate mortgage and flip their house if the interest rate went up.  Banks are now accused of doing wrong for giving them the freedom to take that risk.  But had the banks refused they would also have been accused of wrong doing.

Economist William A. Barnett says Fed’s shoddy FED data drove Wall Street off the cliff. “While there is plenty of blame to spread around, something deeper has happened and needs to be understood to recognize the real source” of the crisis, says Barnett. That “something” was shoddy monetary data and how they fooled some of the smartest people on Wall Street. The Fed’s monetary data are poor, inadequate and “nearly useless to the public,” he says.

The net Obama economic growth adjusted for inflation continues at a zero rate after the initial sharp 2009 decline. One month of suspicious Obama economic statistics does not make an improving American economy. Both Europe and China are already slowing economically. Europe is already facing the deficit crisis that Obama’s policies will create in three years.

MSNBC is desperate to help Obama by creating an illusion of prosperity to artificially prop up the world stock markets. Th

70% of Americans now take more from the tax system than they put into the system. The rioters on the streets of Greece are the children of the Greeks who robbed their welfare state and left their children a bankrupt nation. The 70% are now robbing the American system and cannot be tolerated.

The nation’s budget spending has more than doubled under Obama, pushing the annual deficit to more than $1 trillion and the national debt to $15.2 trillion. Obama’s budget today spends more than $3 trillion in the next fiscal year, and contains no accounting for where taxpayers’ money actually goes. “If the public can’t easily find and understand quality spending information, they can’t use that information to make their opinions heard by Congress,” said Sam Rosen-Amy, a federal fiscal policy analyst at the Washington-based nonprofit research group OMB Watch.

World markets
Swedish Finance Minister Anders Borg announced the government will cut the economic growth outlook for 2012 to 0.5 percent from 1.3 percent as exports falter. Central bank Governor Stefan Ingves said house prices may slide further in the largest Nordic economy after halving his separate forecast for the economy. Sweden’s economy that was Europe’s strongest as recently as 2010, will hardly grow as the Greek crisis spreads north, killing jobs, sapping confidence and tipping the housing market into a decline.

The European Central Bank is swapping its Greek bonds for new ones to ensure Greece isn’t forced into a debt restructuring default, three euro-area officials said.

Beacon Capital Partners Inc. fund defaulted on 429 million pounds ($678 million) of loans secured by a 36-story London building known as CityPoint, according to a regulatory filing.

Fan Jianping, chief economist at the government-run State Information Center, said that China has its lowest annual growth target in eight years as authorities acknowledge the slowing pace of expansion and the global economy weakens further.

Renault’s earnings before interest, taxes fell 0.7 percent last year. Free cash flow from the car-manufacturing unit was positive at 1.08 billion euros ($1.4 billion). Peugeot saw a 27 percent operating profit drop and a negative cash flow of 1.65 billion euros.

European Union’s statistics office reported today that the total Gross domestic product in the 17-nation euro area fell 0.3 percent from the prior three months, the first drop since the second quarter.

Swisscom, Switzerland’s largest phone company, dropped the most in six months in Zurich after predicting lower revenue and an unchanged dividend for 2012 and posted its first quarterly loss since 2002.

Asian markets (especially China) have still failed to break out some on the third and fourth times at resistance levels. China’s stocks could fall 50% from here if Obama’s announced world wide “Great Depression” spreads there too.
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=000001.SS&t=2y&l=on&z=l&q=l&p=e200%2Ce100&a=&c=

Germany broke through the resistance levels: Choose 2 or 5 years
http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=%5EGDAXI+Interactive#chart2:symbol=^gdaxi;range=2y;indicator=ema(200,100)+volume;charttype=line;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=on

The Swiss may be hitting a limit now with a head and shoulder sell signal. Choose 2 or 5 years http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=%5ESSMI+Interactive#chart1:symbol=^ssmi;range=2y;indicator=ema(200,100)+volume;charttype=line;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=on;source=undefined

Emerging markets show strength. Brazil broke through
http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=^BVSP+Interactive#chart1:symbol=^bvsp;range=2y;indicator=ema(100,200)+volume;charttype=line;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=on;source=undefined

American Economy
Incyte Corp that won U.S. approval to sell the first treatment for patients with a rare bone-marrow disease, reported a fourth-quarter net loss of $55.1 million and fell 5.5 percent in the biggest single-day decline since Oct. 13.

PepsiCo Inc. strategy to sell more Tropicana brand Oj is to Add water to its new products like parents do anyway.
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The Federal Communications Commission won’t let LightSquared begin service after the Obama administration claimed it disrupts navigation gear used by planes, boats and autos. LightSquared had invested $4 billion in its plan to offer service that lets users browse the Web at higher speeds.

The combined value of Google and Microsoft, Apple’s two main phone platform rivals is now less than Apple’s market cap. Apple’s market capitalization topped $460 billion while Exxon’s value is just under $397 billion. Of course Steve Jobs only died last October so it may be a few more months before Apple runs out of great new products. By this time next year we predict the price of Apple stock will be less the $250 per share or half the current price.

Last week
Consumer Credit Dec $19.3B down from $20.4B Consumer demand declined, not good
MBA Mortgage Index 02/04 +7.5% up from -2.9% due to seasonal effects
Crude Inventories 02/04 0.304M down from 4.175M
Initial Claims 02/04 358K down slightly from 367K Not Bad
Continuing Claims 01/28 3515K up from 3437K Not good
Feb 9 10:00 AM Wholesale Inventories Dec 1.0% up sharply from 0.1% Decreasing is good. This is bad
Trade Balance Dec -$48.8B 2% worse at $47.8B got worse again
Mich Sentiment Feb 72.5 declined from 75.0 not good
Treasury Budget Jan -$27.down from -$49.8B not reliable
Retail Sales Jan 0.4% up from 0.1% like the USSR Makes no sense
Retail Sales ex-auto Jan 0.7% up from -0.2% like the USSR Makes no sense
Export Prices ex-ag. Jan 0.0% up from -0.2% Ok
Import Prices ex-oil Jan 0.1% down from 0.2% good
Business Inventories Dec 0.4% up from 0.3% not good
MBA Mortgage Index 02/11 -1.0% NA NA 7.5% -
Feb 15 8:30 AM Empire Manufacturing Feb 19.5 up from 13.5 – good NY manufacturing
Feb 15 9:00 AM Net Long-Term TIC Flows Dec $17.9B down from $59.8B very bad-This means foreign investment in the USA is plummeting. Not Good
Feb 15 9:15 AM Industrial Production Jan 0.0% plummeted from 0.4% Not Good
Feb 15 9:15 AM Capacity Utilization Jan 78.5% up slightly 78.1% flat
Feb 15 10:00 AM NAHB Housing Market Index Feb 29 up from 25 seasonal
Feb 15 10:30 AM Crude Inventories 02/11 -0.171M down 0.304M flat

Yesterday
Initial Claims 02/11 348K down from 358K
Feb 16 8:30 AM Continuing Claims 02/04 3426K down from 3515K good
Feb 16 8:30 AM Housing Starts Jan 699K up from 657K good
Feb 16 8:30 AM Building Permits Jan 676K down from 679K not good
Feb 16 8:30 AM PPI Jan 0.1up from -0.1% -
Feb 16 8:30 AM Core PPI Jan 0.4% up from 0.3% -
Feb 16 10:00 AM Philadelphia Fed Feb 10.2 up from 7.3 good

This Week
Feb 17 8:30 AM CPI Jan
Feb 17 8:30 AM Core CPI Jan
Feb 17 10:00 AM Leading Indicators Jan

Market outlook February 17, 2012
Unemployment pollster on Squawk Box says the low unemployment reports are based on biased 1000 person polls. They do 30,000 person polls and it shows unemployment still at 9%.

Thanks to Obama’s windmills but no oil from Canada, high oil prices are causing the American economy to stall now. The world is bracing now for a recession in Europe, a slowdown in China and now a stalling American economy. The EU economy contracted 0.3% last month. Stock market volume is decreasing at a rate of 10% per year under Obama policy concerns. The FED is now considering buying bonds again simply because investors are beginning to demand higher bond interest rates. Investors see that Obama is turning America into a super-Greece.

Market at 2008 level and still looks ready to plunge. Stock volume is incredibly thin making it easy to manipulate the market higher… until the funds pull the plug again.

The VIX may be starting to rise. A sharp computer sell-off could end the current rally any moment now and trigger huge stop-losses.
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=%5EVIX&t=2y&l=on&z=m&q=l&c=

Bulk shipments are beginning to rise again and stock prices of bulk shippers soared even though they will continue to face high losses in the months ahead. Most of the rise however is from short sellers covering themselves. It will probably take a year for the industry to really recover because Asia and Europe have stagnant growth and Obama stagnation continues with growth driven entirely by inflation of less than 2.5% per year. The net Obama economic growth adjusted for inflation continues at a zero rate after the initial sharp decline. Trade had collapsed to the lowest world bulk trade level that existed since Obama started the Obama Great Depression in one of his 2007-2008 campaign speeches. In the past, a decline like this set off alarms around the financial world because it implies supply exceeds demand and something has to give.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=BDIY:IND

Stock market update:
Asian Stock markets were up last night. China up 0.0%, Hong Kong up 1%, India up 0.7%, and Japan up 1.6%.

European markets are up today in a range 0.1% to 1.4% half way through their day.

American market futures are up about 0.2% in after hour trading at 9 AM EST.

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