Tuesday, October 8, 2013

Oct 11, 2013 Jack Welsh this morning called JP Morgan another piggy bank for the administration. Their trading loss was caused by a few “bad actors” which are impossible to catch with regulators. They already have a federal regulator on the lap of every trader… how many do you need? He said the corruption in the Obama administration is caused by a few bad actors too like Holden and the IRS director. He says Holden now holds JP Morgan and BP and others for ransom. Democrat blackmail has not worked yet on GE’s Jack Welsh or Real Estate Tycoon Donald Trump.

One thing is certain, if Social Security is cut by Obama, the Democrats will have to create a new party because they will never get elected again, criminals in the IRS and other federal government agencies will go to southern labor camps, and indigents will have no free government housing or free dinners again in America for a very long time if the “Achieving Generation” that took us into outer space are not treated with respect.  The decline in the American Educational system began with 18 year old High School Graduates in 1965 when test scores first began to decline. 
One thing is certain, if Social Security is cut by Obama, the Democrats will have to create a new party because they will never get elected again, criminals in the IRS and other federal government agencies will go to southern labor camps, and indigents will have no free government housing or free dinners again in America for a very long time if the “Achieving Generation” that took us into outer space are not treated with respect.  The decline in the American Educational system began with 18 year old High School Graduates in 1965 when test scores first began to decline.  National aptitude tests have since gotten easier and easier as aptitude scores declined.  They would be 66 years old now.  The peak aptitude test age group would be 68 years old now and just entering retirement. 
 
Oct 10, 2013   Obama gets special treatment and will not join his own Nationalized Medical plan.  And the Senators and Congressmen get a 72% lower price than working Americans when they join.   The politicians all refuse to contribute anything towards the 47 million welfare recipients who always got free charitable treatments at hospitals but will now be able to abuse Nationalized Medicine as they already abuse disability benefits, Octomom fatherless child support, food stamps, drugs, unemployment insurance, cell phones, the underground economy, teachers, student loans, drugs and gambling.
Podesta, a former chief of staff to President Bill Clinton and a co-chairman of Obama’s 2008 presidential transition, said in an interview that Obama personally thinks the fiscal authority that the American Constitution gives to Congress alone to stop profligate spending is just blackmail and Podesta said, “He feels like he has to end it and end it forever.”  The US Constitution gives Congress the control over the budget but governments just like individuals can become hooked on credit and ultimately can go bankrupt as Cyprus did just last year.  But Obama wants the Constitution changed or at least ignored.  People have credit limits and governments have debt limits to avoid bankruptcy.  Obama is breaking the debt limits over and over again instead of controlling spending by reducing abused entitlements and other incentive payments that enable people to be lazy, hooked on drugs, and ultimately criminals with no conscience.  Obama could also cut the international welfare costs of subsidizing corrupt nations such as Afghanistan, Pakistan, Bangladesh and many socialist countries in Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and South America.
 
States are beginning to idle state workers and cut services because federal funding to states is drying up as a partial U.S. government shutdown extends into a 10th day.  Welfare programs however still get the priority over national security and were getting higher priority than the death benefits to the families of soldiers killed in action until yesterday when there was a national outcry that families had to pay to burry their fathers killed in action.
 
Oct 8, 2013   Jimmy Carter who at his time gave America the worst economy in its history gave needed economic advice today to Obama.   He said, “Obama you are destroying America’s middle class with selling tax breaks to the rich for a $Billion in campaign contributions and giving entitlements to the lazy, and to the lawyers in out-of-control litigant fraud.”  The middle class is paying the political and economic cost of Obamanomics.  Under Obama, America has become a nation of sycophants at both ends of the economic scale weigh down intellectuals and laborers in the middle.
 
World Economies Oct 10, 2013
China is beginning to internationalize its currency by swapping euros and yuan.
 
Japan’s trade surplus unexpectedly shrank to a record low for an August, underscoring drags on the economy as Prime Minister Shinzo Abe tries to exit 20 years of QE caused deflation.  The surplus fell 64 percent from a year earlier as imports exceeded exports.  “There’s a low chance that the current-account balance will turn to a deficit in the coming months,” said Hiroaki Muto, a senior economist at Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management Co. in Tokyo.
 
Japan’s stock market appears to have topped and begun a new decline.  It has declined since 1990 when it began Quantitative Easing.  http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=%5EN225&t=1y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=
 
 The German market is about 7% above the 2007 high which was about 7% above the 2000 high.   It failed to break out from its upper resistance level defined by 2000 and 2007.
 
 The French market has continued to decline since year 2000.  At it most recent highs it is still is still down 50% from 2008 and down 60% from 2000.
 
The Swiss market indicates stagnation since 2007.
 
  The NYSE is similar to the British and Swiss and indicates stagnation since 2007 given in excess of 15% inflation since then and no similar market advance. The NYSE index is too big to manipulate legally. It has 300 stocks just starting with the letter A.
 
American Economy
Oct 7
Consumer Credit Aug $13.6B rose from $10.4B -
Oct 9
MBA Mortgage Index 10/05 1.3% improved from -0.4% +
Crude Inventories 10/05 6.807M up from 5.472M  http://www.martincapital.com/index.php?page=graph&view=nonfarmprivate
 
The Markets Oct 11, 2013
The market recovered half its loss Thursday on the report that a compromise was in the works to end the shutdown.   The volume however was very low, which is a sign the market is near its top.   Also, it stopped at the earlier resistance level not the previous high.  
It looks like there really is no compromise but the administration may get funding for another six weeks.  Obama’s National Socialism is a disaster and most of the system users are just looking to see what it will cost and are going into sticker price shock.  At first it was for 40million people on the dole but last month they said it was for 47 million people on the dole and yesterday they said it is now for 48 million people in the dole as the Obama depression gets worse and worse.   Soon
 
The market Wednesday was down 6% now and these Obama debt crises are becoming as bad as the Greek's crises.  It probably will take at least a steep 25% drop in the world stock markets for Obama to wake up and to reach a compromise to delay Nationalized Medicine until the American public can review its higher costs and reduced benefits for working people.  Those on welfare pay nothing while workers pay the first 30% to 40% of their bills.  That is an equation for another disastrously expensive entitlement program for the lazy. 
 
Delaying the introduction of Socialized medicine is a fact and already is happening whether liberals want to admit it or not.  It is rapidly becoming a state’s rights issue as it should be.  The 47million indigents that Obama wants to cover will bankrupt the excessively liberal states that have most of them because the liberals have catered to Octomoms and their too sexy to work male friends.  The other states will refuse to fund the excessively liberal states and will take it to the Supreme Court.  Then the productive people who attracted the liberals who cater to the sycophants in the excessively liberal states will finally feel forced to move out, possibly to foreign safe-haven countries or Southern States.  Large states in the North will become as poor as Rhode Island.
 
If Congress agrees we can delay passage, then we can vacate the bill and eliminate the 20,000 IRS jobs Obama created to harass the critics of socialized medicine.
 
The 10% to 25% market drop is looming now.
 
If you look at these next two plots it says this bull market is over because prices are about 50% higher than the historical average and the dividends are very low.
 
World trade started to grow as China began to replenish some iron ore stockpiles.
 
The VIX indicates some market concern now at 20. The VIX would normally top out above 30 or even 70 before the bear market ends.  Investors are now as complacent as they were in 2007 at the peak.
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=%5EVIX&t=5y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=
 
World market updates:
http://finance.yahoo.com/intlindices?e=europe
http://finance.yahoo.com/intlindices?e=asia
 They would be 66 years old now.  The peak aptitude test age group would be 68 years old now and just entering retirement. 
 
Oct 10, 2013   Obama gets special treatment and will not join his own Nationalized Medical plan.  And the Senators and Congressmen get a 72% lower price than working Americans when they join.   The politicians all refuse to contribute anything towards the 47 million welfare recipients who always got free charitable treatments at hospitals but will now be able to abuse Nationalized Medicine as they already abuse disability benefits, Octomom fatherless child support, food stamps, drugs, unemployment insurance, cell phones, the underground economy, teachers, student loans, drugs and gambling.
 
Podesta, a former chief of staff to President Bill Clinton and a co-chairman of Obama’s 2008 presidential transition, said in an interview that Obama personally thinks the fiscal authority that the American Constitution gives to Congress alone to stop profligate spending is just blackmail and Podesta said, “He feels like he has to end it and end it forever.”  The US Constitution gives Congress the control over the budget but governments just like individuals can become hooked on credit and ultimately can go bankrupt as Cyprus did just last year.  But Obama wants the Constitution changed or at least ignored.  People have credit limits and governments have debt limits to avoid bankruptcy.  Obama is breaking the debt limits over and over again instead of controlling spending by reducing abused entitlements and other incentive payments that enable people to be lazy, hooked on drugs, and ultimately criminals with no conscience.  Obama could also cut the international welfare costs of subsidizing corrupt nations such as Afghanistan, Pakistan, Bangladesh and many socialist countries in Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and South America.
 
States are beginning to idle state workers and cut services because federal funding to states is drying up as a partial U.S. government shutdown extends into a 10th day.  Welfare programs however still get the priority over national security and were getting higher priority than the death benefits to the families of soldiers killed in action until yesterday when there was a national outcry that families had to pay to burry their fathers killed in action.
 
Oct 8, 2013   Jimmy Carter who at his time gave America the worst economy in its history gave needed economic advice today to Obama.   He said, “Obama you are destroying America’s middle class with selling tax breaks to the rich for a $Billion in campaign contributions and giving entitlements to the lazy, and to the lawyers in out-of-control litigant fraud.”  The middle class is paying the political and economic cost of Obamanomics.  Under Obama, America has become a nation of sycophants at both ends of the economic scale weigh down intellectuals and laborers in the middle.
 
World Economies Oct 10, 2013
China is beginning to internationalize its currency by swapping euros and yuan.
 
Japan’s trade surplus unexpectedly shrank to a record low for an August, underscoring drags on the economy as Prime Minister Shinzo Abe tries to exit 20 years of QE caused deflation.  The surplus fell 64 percent from a year earlier as imports exceeded exports.  “There’s a low chance that the current-account balance will turn to a deficit in the coming months,” said Hiroaki Muto, a senior economist at Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management Co. in Tokyo.
 
Japan’s stock market appears to have topped and begun a new decline.  It has declined since 1990 when it began Quantitative Easing.  http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=%5EN225&t=1y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=
 
 The German market is about 7% above the 2007 high which was about 7% above the 2000 high.   It failed to break out from its upper resistance level defined by 2000 and 2007.
 
 The French market has continued to decline since year 2000.  At it most recent highs it is still is still down 50% from 2008 and down 60% from 2000.
 
The Swiss market indicates stagnation since 2007.
 
  The NYSE is similar to the British and Swiss and indicates stagnation since 2007 given in excess of 15% inflation since then and no similar market advance. The NYSE index is too big to manipulate legally. It has 300 stocks just starting with the letter A.
 
American Economy
Oct 7
Consumer Credit Aug $13.6B rose from $10.4B -
Oct 9
MBA Mortgage Index 10/05 1.3% improved from -0.4% +
Crude Inventories 10/05 6.807M up from 5.472M  http://www.martincapital.com/index.php?page=graph&view=nonfarmprivate
 
The Markets Oct 11, 2013
The market recovered half its loss Thursday on the report that a compromise was in the works to end the shutdown.   The volume however was very low, which is a sign the market is near its top.   Also, it stopped at the earlier resistance level not the previous high.  
It looks like there really is no compromise but the administration may get funding for another six weeks.  Obama’s National Socialism is a disaster and most of the system users are just looking to see what it will cost and are going into sticker price shock.  At first it was for 40million people on the dole but last month they said it was for 47 million people on the dole and yesterday they said it is now for 48 million people in the dole as the Obama depression gets worse and worse.   Soon
 
The market Wednesday was down 6% now and these Obama debt crises are becoming as bad as the Greek's crises.  It probably will take at least a steep 25% drop in the world stock markets for Obama to wake up and to reach a compromise to delay Nationalized Medicine until the American public can review its higher costs and reduced benefits for working people.  Those on welfare pay nothing while workers pay the first 30% to 40% of their bills.  That is an equation for another disastrously expensive entitlement program for the lazy. 
 
Delaying the introduction of Socialized medicine is a fact and already is happening whether liberals want to admit it or not.  It is rapidly becoming a state’s rights issue as it should be.  The 47million indigents that Obama wants to cover will bankrupt the excessively liberal states that have most of them because the liberals have catered to Octomoms and their too sexy to work male friends.  The other states will refuse to fund the excessively liberal states and will take it to the Supreme Court.  Then the productive people who attracted the liberals who cater to the sycophants in the excessively liberal states will finally feel forced to move out, possibly to foreign safe-haven countries or Southern States.  Large states in the North will become as poor as Rhode Island.
 
If Congress agrees we can delay passage, then we can vacate the bill and eliminate the 20,000 IRS jobs Obama created to harass the critics of socialized medicine.
 
The 10% to 25% market drop is looming now.
 
If you look at these next two plots it says this bull market is over because prices are about 50% higher than the historical average and the dividends are very low.
 
World trade started to grow as China began to replenish some iron ore stockpiles.
 
The VIX indicates some market concern now at 20. The VIX would normally top out above 30 or even 70 before the bear market ends.  Investors are now as complacent as they were in 2007 at the peak.
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=%5EVIX&t=5y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=
 
World market updates:
http://finance.yahoo.com/intlindices?e=europe
http://finance.yahoo.com/intlindices?e=asia

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