Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Oct 24, 2013 Socialists don’t practice what they preach. First of all, few socialist states are any more than small socialist states like Greece, Sweden and Portugal. Margret Thatcher broke up the socialist unions and privatized the banks in Great Britain. Many other socialist states including Germany and Sweden subsidize the Catholic and Lutheran churches and have private independent bank corporations. Germany’s Bishop of Bling was in the news this week. The EU is a conglomeration, a union of states but not even close to a real United States like America. The EU has neither a political nor a banking union as we have in the United States of America. We have two major political parties across all the United States. The EU averages four different political parties in each EU state. Neither the USA nor the EU has single educational or medical systems as ignorant American socialists believe and clamor for.

The only unions of states that have had Obama’s socialist type medicine are China and the now dead USSR and dead Hitler’s Third Reich.  The USA has each state with separate educational and medical systems just as we always have had and just like the EU has today.  And if you look at what China and the now dead United Soviet Socialist Republic and Hitler’s dead national socialist Third Reich did you see they conducted massive genocide programs sometimes slaughtering but mostly starving their welfare classes and the sick and infirm.  Just like Barack Obama… Lenin, Hitler, and Mao started their socialist revolutions ostensively for their ignorant self-important thugs that took power.
 
 
 
Detroit poised for first white mayor since ’74 as politics shift.
 
More Americans than forecast filed applications for unemployment benefits last week.
 
It is time for President Barack Hussein Obama to fire his Secretary of Socialized Medicine… Kathleen Sebelius who has stonewalled Congress and the American people long enough.  She has even refused repeated requests for information on implementation of the health socialization law and ignored invitations to testify by Congress to explain the gross incompetence demonstrated by her department.
 
Oct 23, 2013  The Euro has advanced to near 1.35 times the value of the dollar on average.  Before Obama it hovered around 1.28 which now is Obama’s low range.   It hit 1.5 dollars the first year Obama was elected.  The dollar has declined 35% on average relative to the currency used in Spain, Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece, Britain, Cyprus, Germany, Poland, Lithuania, Bulgaria, Latvia, Slovenia, Estonia, etc.   And it is getting worse as Obama spends on the growing USA ghettoes to avoid riots in the cities such as Chicago the murder Capitol of the world.   That is why Octomom got over $200,000 last year and everyone on welfare has the latest cell phone.  Today Detroit and Chicago are called “connected communities” as if they are the models of what Obama and Emanuel think other American cities should strive to become.  Chicago Mayor Emanuel was Obama’s first advisor when they made their first enemies list of Americans to politically harass.  You may remember they went after Rush Limbaugh first.  You may also remember it drove Limbaugh to become addicted to pain killers and he spent a month in rehab and lost his sports announcing job before he recovered.
 
 Little did American’s know that the IRS would be turned into a Stasi, a ministry for state security.  And with health care the IRS will determine who gets a cancer treatments or a new heart transplant.  Former vice president Dick Cheney got his new heart just in time and still is a rational mind serving America.  Liberals openly criticized and questioned why he should get one.  And now Obama’s IRS will decide who lives and who dies and perhaps Octomoms will get the priority because they have so many dependants.  Chicago is the deadliest city in the world and has more killings than our troops saw in Afghanistan.  It has four times the killing rate of the larger city of New York where they stop and disarm suspicious criminals found on the streets at odd hours.
 
 
 
 
Oct 22, 2013  The US dollar advanced 1.7 percent against a basket of nine developed-market peers this year.  The dollar remains the global reserve currency, representing 62 percent of holdings at the end of the second quarter, according to the International Monetary Fund. The euro amounted to 24 percent of the total for the same period.  Take pride in this while it lasts because Obama is destroying the value of our currency with deficit spending for welfare gradually making the American welfare state the only state in the union.
 
Sales of existing U.S. homes fell in September for the first time in three months as higher prices and mortgage rates curbed demand in an industry that helped boost the expansion last year.  Purchases dropped 3.4 percent to a 5.29 million annual rate from a 5.48 million pace reported in August that was the reported as the strongest since Obama took office. The median price of a house climbed 11.7 percent in the period pushing affordability close to a five-year low.  However, the 5.48 million has now been dropped to 5.39 million after it accomplished a false rally last month in housing stocks.  These absurd 100% wide errors are the public indication of one of the most corrupt periods of economic reporting in the history of America.
 
Oct 21, 2013  It has been reported that since Muslims believe insurance is a violation of Sharia Law they will not be forced to register for Obama’s Socialized Medical Insurance and they will get Socialized Medicine free, compliments of the infidel taxpayers.
http://search.atomz.com/search/?sp-q=Dhimmitude+&sp-a=00062d45-sp00000000&sp-advanced=1&sp-p=all&sp-w-control=1&sp-w=alike&sp-date-range=-1&sp-x=any&sp-c=100&sp-m=1&sp-s=0&x=35&y=12
 
Latest report on the Obama recession:
Almost every state and large city in the USA is now on the verge of bankruptcy.
46 million on food stamps; 15% of the population.
43% of American families owe more than the own.
8.9% lower American income reported than when Obama first took office.
14.3% is what Forbes says is true unemployment if you include the people who want to work and are still looking for work but have run out of unemployment insurance so they are not recorded. 
20.4% is reported as the true unemployment if you include the people who want to work and have given up looking for a job.
It was reported that during FDR’s socialist experiment… unemployment stagnated above 25% until WWII and over 120 million people died in war and genocide.
 
J.P. Morgan will pay a record $13Billion fine as socialist fleece the banks to encourage more voluntary contributions for socialist politicians.
 
Legendary investor George Soros reportedly added a $25 million position in options for Junior Gold Miners (GDXJ).  Soros reportedly now has a $100 million position in Gold Miners (GDX). His total gold-related position reportedly totals around $240 million.
 
Commodities are rising because China and US banks are storing commodities.
Quantitative Easing (QE) induced inflation is $85 billion/mo = $1.02 Trillion per year.  We are on track now for hyperinflation with the FED now hooked and can no longer reduce QE.
 
World Economies Oct 22, 2013
Germany summoned the U.S. ambassador to the Foreign Ministry over reports Chancellor Angela Merkel’s mobile phone was monitored by U.S. spy agencies.
 
Foreign policy makers are reacting to another cooling of global growth, led this time by weakening in developing nations while inflation increases and job growth remains stagnant in much of the industrial world. Gold bullion rose 70 percent from December 2008 to June 2011 as the central bank pumped more than $2 trillion into the financial system.  Bernanke alone is pumping precisely $1.02Trillion just in QE each year alone.  And China, Japan,  and Europe have joined Bernanke in flooding the world with much more paper money that was printed in the growth period from 2000 to 2008.  The problem is we are not seeing a recovery because free world socialism is destroying growth and job creation and the whole world seems to be vulnerable now to Brazil and Argentina type sub-hyper inflation.
 
China’s biggest banks have tripled the amount of bad loans written off in the first half, cleaning up their books ahead of what may be a fresh wave of growth.
 
Foreign investors were net sellers of U.S. long-term portfolio assets in August as China reduced its holdings of Treasuries to a six-month low.
 
Mexico’s government condemned the U.S. National Security Agency’s hacking of the e-mail account of then-President Felipe Calderon in 2010, saying such actions are unacceptable and violate international law.
 
Revenue and earnings are benefitting from current 3% inflation that feeds into the revenue stream of corporation inventories.  Hoarding has begun and is the primary reason for the increase in China’s imports.  These are the business benefits of the earliest stage of hyperinflation and are being misinterpreted as economic recovery.  In fact all the recovery under Obama is simply from inflation and it is just now becoming visible as the earliest stage of hyperinflation.  It is the basis of the current optimism only because most investors do not remember hyperinflation.  But on Monday Squawk Box had a German on the show who knew about the German hyperinflation that precipitated their economic collapse and the rise of the National Socialist Adolf Hitler.
 
Consistent with nascent hyperinflation, banks, USA and EU, face an overhaul of how they calculate possible losses on securities and commodities they hold in their trading books as global regulators target discrepancies in how lenders measure the riskiness of their commodity investments.  It shows banks have begun hoarding commodities and are reducing taxes by playing games with paper trades with shadow companies.  The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision may publish draft proposals as soon as this month on capital rules for assets that banks intend to trade.  Hoarding will only increase as inflation picks up.
 
Japan’s stock market appears to have topped and begun a new decline.  It has declined since 1990 when it began Quantitative Easing. 
 
 
 The German market is about 7% above the 2007 high which was about 7% above the 2000 high.   It failed to break out from its upper resistance level defined by 2000 and 2007.
 
 The French market has continued to decline since year 2000.  At it most recent highs it is still is still down 50% from 2008 and down 60% from 2000.
http://in.finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=%5EFCHI#symbol=^fchi;range=my;compare=;indicator=sma+volume;charttype=area;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=off;source=undefined;
 
The Swiss market indicates stagnation since 2007.
 
  The NYSE is similar to the British and Swiss and indicates stagnation since 2007 given in excess of 15% inflation since then and no similar market advance. The NYSE index is too big to manipulate legally. It has 300 stocks just starting with the letter A.
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=%5ENYA&t=my&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=
 
American Economy
Oct 21
Existing Home Sales Sep 5.29M down sharply from 5.48M
As usual Obama data is manipulated but the 5.48 is what they claimed last time but they changed it to 5.39 because either they hyped it the last time or else it really dropped sharply and Obama does not want the public to know either way.
Oct 22
Nonfarm Payrolls Sep 148K down sharply from 193K  ---
Nonfarm Private Payrolls Sep 126K down sharply from 161K ---
Unemployment Rate Sep reported 7.2% actually over 14%
Hourly Earnings Sep 0.1% up again 0.2%
Average Workweek Sep 34.5 unchanged
Net Long-Term TIC Flows Aug -$8.9B Money flow is now out of the USA $31.1B---
Construction Spending Aug 0.6% flat from 0.6% +++
Natural Gas Inventories 10/12 77 bcf down from 90 bcf -
Oct 23
MBA Mortgage Index 10/19 -0.6% down sharply from 0.3% ---
Export Prices ex-ag. Sep 0.3% rose from -0.1% --- not competitive and a sign of American QE inflation kicking in.
Import Prices ex-oil Sep 0.1% up from -0.2% ---  another sign of the decline in the value of the US currency due to Bernanke QE printing presses.
FHFA Housing Price Index Aug 0.3% sharply lower from 1.0% ---
Crude Inventories 10/19 5.246M up from 3.999M  +
Oct 24
Initial Claims 10/19 350K high but down slightly 358K –
Continuing Claims 10/12 2874K 2900K up from 2859K --
Trade Balance Aug -$38.8B adverse -$39.1B --
 
The Markets Oct 24, 2013
Gold prices seem to have bottomed and now are advancing in New York as Federal Reserve quantitative easing and China and Japan’s stimulus programs continue to boost demand for precious metals.
 
Market rotation continues as QE floods America with cash creating jobless stock market bubbles and wastes human capital.
 
Obama has put America on the slippery slope of socialism.  America was the world leader and stayed 16yrs to 50yrs ahead of other advanced countries, as long as our patents and manufacturing secrets allowed.  Now, socialism and outsourcing manufacturing is undermining America while Asia is copying and undermining our exports.  America needs a regime change back to free enterprise to reverse the Obama process of political, social, and economic unexceptionalism.
 
Obama’s Socialized Medicine promises to do irreparable harm to the American economy and American health care for those who are not already on government assistance.  Not only is the sign-up for consumers not working, doctors report they have not signed up but the government tells them they are counted in unless they retire.  Doctors will be required to have computer data bases now and many don’t and don’t care because that means higher cost and a less personal office.
 
Housing is beginning to slump again as interest rate rise making mortgages and loans less affordable.  When a mortgage rate goes from 3% to 4% the house that could be afforded drops from a $400,000 house to a $300,000 house.  When that 3% loan goes from 3% to 4% the payment goes up 33.3%.  
 
And when QE interest rates go from 0.25% to 2.5% on average for the national debt the cost of Annual interest on US debt will go from $200 Billion now to $2Trillion a ten fold increase on whatever the national debt interest is at that time.  The lower the FED manipulated rate today the more disastrous the economic collapse will be.  If the treasury interest rate goes from 0.25% to 6% like in Italy that is a 24 fold increase.  If then US debt reaches $20Trillion the annual interest at 6% would be another $1.2Trillion each year in addition to the Obama spending deficit of $1.2Trillion Obama already has.  At that point the spending deficit will have accelerated to twice Obama’s current deficit rate.
 
Quantitative easing has artificially dropped interest rates so that Obama could dramatically increase the rate Octomoms, illegal immigrants and others register and vote multiple times for his socialism.   In Russia’s Putin used bus loads of people who used multiple identities to vote him into office all day at multiple polling places.  Such corruption is totally permitted in the US today and the individual who went undercover to show how it was done was arrested multiple times since he first showed how ACORN (a group that was accused of promoting illegal activities involving fraud, prostitution and illegal voter registration) helped prostitution get established in the Ghettos encouraging “socialist” free enterprise right after Obama was first elected.  See:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LtTnizEnC1U
 
Once the FED loses control of interest rates people now predict the cost of just Obama’s existing squandered debt will drive QE to over $1Trillion per month.  This could happen before Socialized Medicine bugs are worked out and could be the excuse used to abandon Obama’s Socialized Medicine.
 
There is only one plan and Octomoms get it for free with no deductable cost for coverage of their itinerant boyfriends and 14 children.  If you work and contribute to the American economy and earn $100,000 per year in New York City you pay a city and state sales tax, a city state and federal income tax and you pay 40% (the deductable) of your medical costs plus a 1% penalty from your gross income if you give the collectors any hassle.
 
QE’s low interest rates have driven private investors out of bonds and into stocks driving the market to its new heights.  This cash flow will reverse once the FED loses control of the interest rates.  It is now likely that QE will not end until hyperinflation occurs and the world leaves the dollar and goes back to a combination of major currencies and gold.
 
George Soros has held his position in gold after selling only an estimated 12% of his holdings near the highs.  It is reported Bill Gross, George Mellon, and George Soros have recently begun accumulating gold investments again.
 
The economy and the stock market always eventually disintegrate together under socialism.  The more socialism grows the more the economy shrinks.  That is the historical repeatable fact with no exceptions to the rule thus far.
 
 Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent –John Maynard Keynes
 
Jim Cramer said and now the other MSNBC are saying the stock market can go higher because the Price Earnings ratio has not peaked at 20 to 25.   They are fools because the price-earnings ratio does not peak at 20 to 25 until the market collapses.  See the truth; don’t consume the Jimmy Cramer MSNBC baloney.
http://www.martincapital.com/index.php?page=graph&view=pe_pd
 
The stock market mavens are fiddling as Obama/Holden destroy American exceptionalism and make America into a welfare state where everyone is equal; equally impoverished spiritually and economically.
 
If you look at these next two plots it says this bull market is over because prices are about 50% higher than the historical average and the dividends are very low.
 
World trade started to grow as China began to replenish some iron ore stockpiles.
 
The VIX indicates some market concern now at 20. The VIX would normally top out above 30 or even 70 before the bear market ends.  Investors are now as complacent as they were in 2007 at the peak.
 
World market updates:
http://finance.yahoo.com/intlindices?e=europe
http://finance.yahoo.com/intlindices?e=asia

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